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Guy Hatchard
Guy Hatchardhttps://hatchardreport.com/
Guy Hatchard PhD is a statistician and former senior manager at Genetic ID, a global food safety testing and certification laboratory. Guy's book 'Your DNA Diet' is available on Amazon.com.

How many mistakes does an expert have to make before they are no longer an expert?

COVID experts news

Our health service is in crisis, unable to cope, and all-cause mortality is running at record levels.

Ministry of Health data, released two days ago, shows that it is not due to Covid. This morning both main newspapers rushed to ask the experts.

In the NZ Herald, Associate Professor Dr. Siouxsie Wiles, frequent media commentator and expert on the bioluminescence of superbugs, said she was frustrated because:

“There wasn’t a critical mass of people using basic Covid-19 protections…such as RATs, masks, self-isolation and vaccines…I don’t understand why we aren’t using these measures we know work.”

Even though we are arguably the most highly vaccinated, tested, and masked nation in the world, apparently it isn’t enough for Dr. Wiles.

Epidemiologist Dr. Michael Baker, often referred to as “New Zealand’s expert”, echoed Dr Wiles when he called for more compulsory masking and a return to strict government-mandated lockdown orders.

Vaccine-champion Dr. Baker diverged from Wiles and additionally called for new vaccines to be produced (presumably ones that he imagined might actually work).

In Stuff newspaper, Covid Response Minister Dr. Ayesha Verrall said we are “flying blind” and the situation is “getting more challenging”. The article summarised:

“Hospitals are under extreme pressure: In Northland, emergency department patients are being seen in corridors or treated in chairs. A woman who left an overloaded emergency department in Auckland due to an hours-long wait died, and Christchurch is reporting “all-time high” patient numbers.”

Dr Verrall advised people to get masked up and boosted. Yes Dr. Verall, but we already are.

Cellular immunologist Dr. Anna Brooks, who describes herself as a Long Covid advocate, joined the expert crowd in blaming Covid for our health woes but added the word ‘reinfection’, saying that 1% of Covid cases were reinfections. Sorry Dr Brooks, a 1% rate of Covid reinfections cannot be sinking our health service, that is a statistical impossibility.

Wellington epidemiologist and public health expert Dr. Amanda Kvalsvig also blamed Covid for our health woes and called for a high suppression strategy to protect our school system whereby we could hide at home while government workers bring us safely sanitized meals on wheels. An apparent adaptation of the unpopular and failing Chinese model.

NZ’s expert Dr. Baker elaborated—we need to “normalise the new normal” by launching “a new revolution in the air that we share.” We all need to follow suit for the foreseeable future using high-quality, respirator-style masks. Did he mean aqualung suits? I’m not sure.

Dr. Baker described this as an “arms race”. The trouble is that no one knows who or what we are actually racing against.

If it is not Covid, what is going on?

Yesterday the MoH reported that just nine people in the whole of NZ are in intensive care for Covid—less than 4% of operative NZ intensive care beds. In December last year the government reported that we can triple ICU capacity at the drop of a hat should the need arise. Clearly Covid hasn’t brought the NZ health service to its knees, so what has?

Dr Verrall is right that we are flying blind. As I reported two days ago, we are not being given the information we need to sort this out. Apparently, no one, including our Covid Response Minister, knows what people are crowding into hospitals for. We have no information on the rates of specific conditions.

If you have worked in food safety, you know that a little focused information gathering goes a long way. Dr Verrall should know this also, she received her expert qualification in tropical medicine, bioethics, and international health (yes, bioethics) at the London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Alabama University, and the Gorgas Institute in Peru focusing on tuberculosis.

The health service is stretched, but Dr. Verrall can quickly get a handle on the situation by undertaking focused sampling of specific conditions at a single DHB or hospital. This should give her (and us) a reliable indication why people are being hospitalized or reporting sick to their GPs in record numbers. I’m not sure why she hasn’t already done this?

Aside from blaming Covid, Dr. Verrall also mentioned winter flu, although no one appears sure if this has even arrived yet.

The UK also has excess all-cause mortality at a rate very similar to ours, but they are not in flu season, the northern hemisphere is in the middle of summer. Their official figures also reveal excess mortality is not due to Covid, but like us rates of specific conditions have not been made available.

We are in the midst of a health crisis. We have introduced a novel biotech ‘vaccine’ which operates in a way never before used on the public. The safety trials were never completed and their integrity has been questioned. The rates of adverse effects including serious effects are running at 50 times any previous vaccine. Published studies are questioning vaccine safety. Studies point to reduced immunity. Excess all cause deaths are at record levels. Birth rates have dropped to record lows around the world. What is difficult about these clues?

We are being told to treat the New Zealand government as our one source of truth and advised not to stray into the uncharted territory of other ‘sources’ (???). What do we do if the government pretends not to know and apparently doesn’t appear ready to find out?

Do you feel like me that we are being trained not to ‘read’. People who ‘read’ are being labelled as alien conspiracy theorists, naughty nerds, or even by our PM as terrorists about to start a war. Is this the modern NZ equivalent of book burning?

You don’t have to stray very far from the authorised government expert reading list to find evidence of the source of our health crisis.

If you dare, have a quick gander for example at the Australian magazine Air Line Pilot October/November 2021 edition, a page 15 table reports one pilot died in 2019, 6 in 2020, and 111 in 2021. Pilots are vaccine mandated. There is a similar mysterious rise in sudden deaths among sports people. Or go and ask funeral homes, the ACC, emergency responders, or insurance companies what is happening. They’ll tell you, even if Dr. Verrall can’t or won’t

Apparently no one in the conventional medical system wants to blame a vaccine for anything, but when all other possible causes have been eliminated, you may have to bow to the inevitable and accept the need for careful evaluation through collection and publication of detailed statistics across a very broad range of conditions. It’s the traditional and reliable way these things are worked out,

Come on Dr Verrall, step up to the plate. Wittering on about “troubled times ahead” due to as yet unknown Covid variants doesn’t cut the expert mustard. Move out from under the shadow of our all-knowing Prime Minister. The house is on fire. First of all identify exactly which house is on fire, and then get out the fire hoses.

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  1. Experts are frequently too narrow minded to use commonsense. Their number crunching may outrun judgement.
    How do the RATS tests work? The mRNA 40x amplification test has been soundly refuted by the WHO but I believe it is still the norm in NZ. Acting on false positives is very foolish and may be illegal. It certainly questions duty of care. The gobblement has plainly abandoned that.
    Is it traitorous to run a private agenda out of incompetence or foreign allegiance?
    A former Public Service has been largely demolished by ignorant govt who perpetually dance a hui which begets more. Government has to be of a quality that sound executive decisions can be made by those charged with that duty. Heads of Depts need to be capable of executing the needs of State and keeping Ministers and the country out of difficulties.
    I endorse everything that appears in the article above.

  2. The word “expert” lost all relevance a long time ago.

    There are only the objective facts. Some people want you to hear all of it, others want you to hear only what they deem necessary. Some people want you to have a think and make up your own damn mind, others demand you stop thinking and conform OR ELSE…

    That dichotomy is all that’s relevant to me now, I don’t care how many prestigious accolades and pissing contests they’ve won. Stick it where the sun shines

  3. I can’t believe it!!! All these words like flying blind and unprecedented what’s happening what’s going on! Only one thing has changed you elite moronic ba*tards you expert wannabes, you pushed your lethal injection into the population and this is the consequence. But you continue to play dumb you already know that the jab is the cause of the hospital crisis YOU ALL KNOW!!!!!! Guess what SO DO WE!!! But if this glaringly obvious fact escapes you then for effs sake find another job. So embarrassing listening to these jab and mask pushing tossers masquerading as so called experts. I can tell you this baker you are not going to suffocate me by covering my nose and mouth with a face nappy especially when the science proves it doesn’t work. So once again we do your job for you by informing the nz public about the mask scam. Could it be that the oxygen intake of jabbed mask wearers be contributing to rise in hospital admissions, but what do I know…. After all you are the expert ????????????????????

  4. Wiles, Baker, Verrall, Kvalsvig, Brooks have all done enough damage. New Zealanders know this hence their ambivalence to whatever they say.

    What is happening:
    Lets cut to the chase: Immune pressure is what is causing the large numbers. Let me explain to those interested.
I am sorry but I have to get a bit technical here.
    The virus will overcome the pressure exerted by antibodies (non neutralising). We have not learned from the 1st phase of the pandemic. I ask that you do not confuse infectiousness with virulence. If we exert immune pressure on a characteristic of the virus, without preventing transmission of the virus. we have natural selection occurring which is what we see now with dominant infection of omicron. Don’t be fooled by its mild virulence. The pressure is exerted by the non-neutralising antibodies (which have induced memory) binding to the antigenic site conserved in the N terminal domain. This gives a competitive advantage to virus strains that can overcome this temporary impediment.

    The Government needs to stop wheeling out these proven failures called “experts” listed above.

    Here is a list of authorities, all with proven records.
    Dr Robert Malone, Geert vanden Bossche, Dr Vernon Colemen, Dr Tom Cowan, Dr Peter McCullough, Dr Zev Zalenski (dec), Dr Didier Raoul, Dr Battachaya, Dr Mike Yeadon, Dr Ryan Cole…are all people you can trust and respect. Listen to them.

  5. A long time ago I researched the meaning of Michael. The answer was “likened unto god”. I daresay Michael Bake wants to be God! Correct me if I am wrong, I believe that masks reduce the amount of our oxygen intake, which in turn reduces the flow of oxygen to the brain. To see little children wearing masks worries me. At their most formative years they need the max amount of oxygen to stimulate brain development. Baker is already brain dead, but he should triple the masks he wears just to make sure. And wasn’t Siouxsie Wiles recently chastised by the media council for publishing mis information – or was it lies?

  6. The fact that these eccentric “so called” experts are given any- let alone daily- coverage is down to the propoganda , government sponsored Main Media. Something very, very dark is happening here, and 90%of the population are swallowing it. Heaven help us all over the next couple of years. AND what if they get back into power again at the next election, doesn’t bare thinking about.

  7. The main thing that’s bringing the health system down is Fear ,these viruses have always been around turn off your Tv and don’t listen to the media crap .

    • In reference to the video above, it is not force of luck to make wealth for the real wealth holders in this world, the people who run this world literally steal your money through market manipulation f the stock market and inflation. We have a reserve currency based on nothing that can be exchanged for real value when the shit hits the fan. You can’t exchange your worthless dollars for gold to ride out a depression, you are screwed. It wasn’t always like this.


      Inflation is a tax on your wealth. When the corrupt market fails the tax payer bails out the too big to fail banks and foots the bill. The merry go round continues, it will soon stop.

      By 2030 you will have nothing and be happy because if you are not (on the compulsory meds) they will simply stop your bank account.

  8. I sent much of this referenced clinical trial data and information to The NZ Media Council, (specifically CEO Mary Major) and Roddy “the jabber” Jackson.

    Rod Jackson did the Covid-19 risk assessment for the entire The Warehouse Group.

    Specific evidence in that Pfizer clinical trial data was most telling to anyone who bothered to read it even by late Dec 2020 And as the days/months go by these key points become ever more pertinent

    Page 41: (Pfizer-COVID-19 Vaccine EUA review memo_508ed)

    “Among 3,410 total cases of suspected but unconfirmed COVID-19 in the overall study population, 1,594 occurred in the vaccine group vs. 1816 in the placebo group. Suspected COVID-19 cases that occurred within 7 days after any vaccination were 409 in the vaccine group vs. 287 in the placebo group. It is possible that the imbalance in suspected COVID-19 cases occurring in the 7 days postvaccination represents vaccine reactogenicity with symptoms that overlap with those of COVID-19. Overall though, these data do not raise a concern that protocol-specified reporting of suspected, but unconfirmed COVID-19 cases could have masked clinically significant adverse events that would not have otherwise been detected.”

    Page 43: 4.3. Study BNT162-01
    “Study BNT162-01 is an ongoing, first-in-human,Phase 1 dose-level finding study conducted in Germany to evaluate the safety and immunogenicity of several different candidate vaccines, including BNT162b2.

    So clearly “experimental”

    FDA Briefing Document: Vaccines and Related Biological Products Advisory Committee Meeting September 17, 2021

    Page 22: “An additional analysis appears to indicate that incidence of COVID-19 generally increased in each group of study participants with increasing time post-Dose 2 at the start of the analysis period. Only 3 severe COVID-19 cases were reported during the analysis period, all of which occurred among study participants originally randomized to BNT162b2.”

    LNP Comirnaty ingredients have manufacturers blackbox warnings?

    Why did Chris James at Medsafe almost fully redact the Pfizer documents regarding these “safe& effective” LNP ingredients when I asked for them in an OIA request? 5 fully redacted pages was the reply with only the alleged RNA spike protein sequence released which was never ask for. Medsafe via Jan Torres continues to refuse to release these documents under the NZ OIA. People surely have a right to know?

    These LNP ingredients have never been used in humans before and have absolutely no long term safety data




    “For research use ONLY, NOT for human or veterinary or diagnostic or therapeutic use.”

    The facts have been well established for quite some time. But we have these so-called “experts” & the MofH , Medsafe continuing to perpetuate outright lies and stonewall valuable evidence of exactly what people have had injected in their bodies.

    • Hi there, thanks for your contributions, which have been published – note our moderation times can vary depending on volume [Editor].

      • Forgive me, as at this point ive lost absolutely all faith in media.
        Im not alone. Many of us have a great deal of official information to share but have been constantly silenced & blocked.

  9. Global vaccine fFailure. Negative efficacy: the vaxxed are getting more cases and more severe cases than the unpoisoned. These experts are totally discredited yet still dictating behaviour. NZ is like a Jonestown cult of vax.


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