Wednesday, November 12, 2025

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New poll shows deadlocked parliament as Te Pāti Māori holds balance of power

Reid Research poll September 2025 news

The latest RNZ-Reid Research poll points to a hung Parliament, with Labour edging ahead of National on 34.3 to 32.5 percent but unable to form a government without allies.

Both left and right blocs would hold 60 seats each, leaving Te Pāti Māori’s electorate performance as the potential decider.

The Greens slipped to 10.9 percent, ACT rose slightly to 7.2, and New Zealand First dropped to 8.7. Te Pāti Māori fell to 4.1 percent after its Tāmaki Makaurau by-election win and subsequent controversy, though retaining all six seats could tip Parliament 61-60 in Labour’s favour.

On leadership, Chris Hipkins remains the most preferred prime minister at 23 percent, ahead of Christopher Luxon on 19.6, Winston Peters on 8.9, Chlöe Swarbrick on 6.5, and David Seymour on 5.8.

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13 COMMENTS

  1. As NZ the rusting hulk and former glory of what it once was slowly slides beneath the wave of communism
    Socialism the road to communism
    Socialists who are good at one thing
    Lashing out like drunken sailors on shore leave after an extra ration of rum
    Spending other peoples money
    Until there is no money left
    And the Golden Goose dies
    Quite simple really
    If this managery of misfits queers and gays gets in its all over
    No racial or moral compass
    Completely clueless bereft of righteousness existing only to appease and bow down to the minority

    • Can you honestly see any discernible difference between any of the main parties? All I see is globalists as far as the eye can see,acting as a relay for the same agenda, with a few minor tweaks along the way, that amount to nothing truly distinctive.

      • First, nobody should take an rnz poll seriously.

        Second, we should not torget Luxon and his National Ministers are expertly fixing many of the Ardern government’s financial land mines (inflation is easily the biggest one)

        Third, covid inquiry results voters can trust, and a forensic audit of the $66b covid spend, so voters find out who got their money, would put Labour’s electoral chances to rest.

        So why isn’t Brooke Van Velden providing 3?

        Could it be incompetence or something worse?

      • Yes the Jewish Sanhedrin
        Two sides of the same coin
        Labour National and satellite affiliates
        Not a dimes difference
        Doesn’t matter who’s in power
        Albeit for a few domestic tweaks
        Just following orders to the globalist NWO WEF UN agenda
        Politics is a game of rugby
        Half time change sides
        What has changed
        Ostensibly nothing
        Politics is instilling the deception that Your votes count
        And by voting You can change things
        A dog chasing its own tail

  2. Time we had a referendum. A royal commission said the Maori seats should go when MMP was introduced.

    Referendum with the election next year. Let’s have our say!

  3. Only one term and this is where the National “led” (if that’s not misusing the word) coalition have found themselves. Time to listen to the constituents yet, do you think? I’m not exactly on the left but I wont be voting, for you or any of your partner parties. Suffice to say, if a party akin to Reform UK or the AFD, were to come about, I’d suggest this lot would probably be down the road in short order

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