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Roy Morgan Poll: Coalition government maintains significant lead over opposition

Roy Morgan April 2024 poll news

The Coalition Government retains its majority with 53% in the April Roy Morgan poll.

Despite a slight decrease of 3% from March, the government is still significantly ahead of the Labour-Greens-Maori Party opposition block at 43% – 2.5% increase since April.

Support for the National-led Government saw National at 36.5%, down 1.5%, ACT at 11%, down 0.5%, and NZ First at 5.5%, a decrease of 1%.

Cupport for Labour was up 1.5% to 24.5%, Greens up 0.5% to 13%, and the Maori Party up 1.5% to 5.5%.

4% of those polled supported minor parties outside Parliament, with The Opportunities Party at 2% (down 0.5%), the New Conservatives, Democracy NZ, New Zealand Loyal, NewZeal, and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party, at a combined 2% (up from 1%).

The survey, conducted via telephone with a cross-section of 934 electors from March 25 to April 21, 2024, revealed a potential outcome of 66 seats for the National/ACT/NZ First coalition, down by two seats, compared to 54 seats for the Labour/Greens/Maori Party Opposition, down by one seat.

In terms of seat allocation, the governing coalition would secure 45 seats for National (down four), 14 seats for ACT (up three), and seven seats for NZ First (down one). Meanwhile, the Opposition would have 31 seats for Labour (down three), 16 seats for Greens (up one), and seven seats for the Maori Party (up one).

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose by 4.5 points to 85.5 in April, indicating improved sentiment following a dip in March. Notably, 34.5% of electors believed New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction’, a slight decrease of 0.5%, while 49% felt it was ‘heading in the wrong direction’, down by 5% points.

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9 COMMENTS

  1. I’d not vote for any of them, the fact people still do is bizarre…..
    That said, I wonder what “percentage of a percentage” these figures actually reflect? I have a feeling a lot of people have simply switched off from the whole ugly affair of NZ politics and who can blame them….
    Oh and they are giving themselves a massive pay hike too, plus tax free perks….(cue vomiting sounds)

    • I’m with you on the that. I reckon more people have switched off, but the vast majority still go along with it, thinking they are playing a game of 5D chess where they can vote super smart and super hard and have a say. Unfortunately, the entire system is rigged and there are no winners.

    • Isn’t it disgusting. I currently only live on a few hundred dollars a week if I am lucky. Too proud to go to winz, don’t need that humiliation. Yet these people who are complicit in rating us out of our home have just got a pay increase of several thousand a week! 😡🤮😡🤬😠

  2. You’d have to be bat Sh1t crazy to ever vote left again in this or any lifetime. Just a bunch of Machiavellian, communist, Marxist greedy overpaid hypocrites with no real world experience or work ethic. Good riddance for ever.

    I don’t support National anymore but sheesh thank goodness the mad left loonies are gone burgers. There isn’t anyone on the left who is even capable of running a bath let alone a government!

    • Yes yes, all Commies…no in fact “globalists” and they are “all the same”, no right or left anymore. The current bunch are instituting Liebours tax policies, re: trusts and on line rentals, climate change agenda still underway, digital ID’s, hate speech lass, vaccine travel passports, no operation with the death jab and more in operation, as per the WEF/WHO, etc remains in place.

      Try voting for a new party because that’s the ONLY way we will ever see change……

  3. Not quite the smooth transition many New Zealanders hoped for.
    Labour’s frivolous spending and lack of accountability has created a monumental task for this new Govt.
    Yes change was warranted and is critical but the rapid pace of change (under urgency) has not enabled this Govt to take the people along with them. The news is constantly bleak and negative…the sunny, blue skies of Australia are now looking the brighter option for many.
    This Govt needs to minimise immigration under urgency and look after our own people. The job market is depressed, the job seekers will increase significantly as will the homeless and mortgagee listings. By the time the mass exodus is complete we may well find we have enough houses and many sitting empty, skilled people will have packed up and gone and WINZ offices will be overwhelmed.
    This does not represent a brighter future for New Zealand nor does this represent getting this country back on track as promised!
    I find myself of late constantly checking out Australia real estate …my next tick is likely to sit with relocating and re-establishing in the hope and desire for that brighter future.

  4. Labour, once the political home of the working class, has become the Progressive Party, pushing a progressive ideology. Progressives stand, under the guise of ‘kindness’ ‘equality’ and ‘diversity’ (dividing) for the destruction of any collective identity, be it church, country, even gender (because to be a woman or a man is a collective identity so we can now choose sex optional) and finally these progressive whackos want, in their final move, to destroy humanity itself with transhumanism or post-humanism so that without any collective identity or even humanity, we stand alone and helpless in the easy and very final slide into Totalitarianism.

    Hollywood has been preparing us for the progressive future for decades. AI, The Terminator, The Matrix. All the dystopian worlds portrayed in film. Under Progressivism you have no bright future described for you by Hollywood. I don’t know of any movie set in the future which includes the traditional life or families with many children. Everything is quite shadowy and dark.

    We dodged a bullet when we voted in the coalition, but somebody needs to tell the Progressives in the media and politics – They lost! We won. And we will continue winning. The pollsters can do their worst. Whoever with a brain believes them any more?

    • Agree 100%

      One pollster will sample 7 libs and 3 conservatives and claim victory. Another pollster will do the opposite and claim the same stunning result.

      Polls are fake bullsh!t, designed to INFLUENCE public opinion, not to gauge it.

      Ignore the mockingbirds and their annoying squawking. Both parties ultimately answer to the same owners. It’s all a big show.

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