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Coalition maintains strong lead in latest Roy Morgan poll

Political poll news
Image – Roy Morgan.

In the latest New Zealand Poll conducted by Roy Morgan for March 2024, the Coalition government of National, ACT, and NZ First, continues to maintain a strong majority, with a slight increase to 56% from February’s 55%.

This puts them well ahead of Labour, Greens, and the Maori Party, whose collective support dropped to 40.5%.

National saw an increase of 2.5% to reach 38%, while ACT experienced a slight decrease of 0.5% points, settling at 11.5%. NZ First dropped 1% to 6.5%.

Labour witnessed a rise in support by 1.5%, reaching 23%, while the Greens saw a decrease of 2% to 13.5%, and the Maori Party dropped by 0.5% points to 3.5%.

The poll also noted a portion of electors, 3.5% (down 0.5% points), supporting minor parties outside of Parliament. This includes The Opportunities Party with 2.5% (unchanged), and 1% (down 0.5%) supporting other parties like the New Conservatives, Democracy NZ, New Zealand Loyal, NewZeal, and the Aotearoa Legalise Cannabis Party.

In terms of parliamentary seats, the current support for the National/ACT/NZ First coalition would secure 69 seats, up one seat from the election, while the Labour/Greens/Maori Party Opposition would secure 51 seats, down four seats.

The Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating saw a significant decline of 17 points in March, reaching 81, as sentiment turned notably negative. Only 35% of electors expressed that New Zealand was ‘heading in the right direction,’ down 6.5% points, while 54% indicated it was ‘heading in the wrong direction,’ up 10.5% points.

Males showed strong support for the National/ACT/NZ First coalition government at 66%, compared to just 31% for the opposition. Conversely, women marginally favoured the opposition at 51.5%, with the coalition trailing at 45%.

Support for the governing coalition was consistent across age groups among men. For women aged 50 and over, there was a clear majority supporting National/ACT/NZ First at 53%, while younger women aged 18-49 showed a preference for the leftist parties at 57.5%.

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5 COMMENTS

  1. It makes no difference, they are all the same, neo liberal globalists who bow before the likes of the US/UK and the WHO/WEF….ZERO TIME for any of them……

  2. No great love for the new govt (they’re only marginally better than the previous), but I DO love how the NZ MSM’s naked hatred and constant attacks are having ZERO impact 😆

    • Most of the MSM are owned or paid for by the govt. All criticism is no doubt agreed upon and carefully curated, to inflict no real harm, whilst giving the appearance of practising real journalism. This is why they hate the non mainstream media so much.

    • Leftist parties do not deal in logic, only emotional tag lines.

      “My body, my choice”

      “No human is illegal”

      “We were born this way”

      “The gender pay gap is REAL”

      “Bash the fash, smash the patriarchy”

      Young women by in large are highly emotional creatures. They don’t wanna hear about your history, common sense or “mansplaining” logic, so just shut up bigot!! 😡

      It flips a couple years later for those who are lucky enough to beat the biological clock and have kids instead of becoming rainbow-haired wine aunts. Nothing pushes a person to the right more effectively than having your own children and having to feed and care for them off of a limited income, while imbeciles like Chloe Swarbrick demand new forever taxes because she’s afraid of the weather.

      This is why leftist parties do everything in their power to convince young women that it’s better to be a promiscuous 38 year old company exec than a mother. Also why they would lower the voting age to 10 if they could.

      Every conservative is a former liberal. It NEVER goes the other way around.

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