Labour has inched further ahead of National in the latest Taxpayers’ Union-Curia Poll, with the opposition party gaining ground while the governing party records a notable drop in support, shifting the projected balance of Parliament back toward the centre-left.
The poll places Labour at 34.4 percent, up 0.3 points from February, while National falls 2.9 points to 28.4 percent. The Greens also made a slight gain, rising 0.2 points to 10.5 percent, while New Zealand First slipped 0.8 points to 9.7 percent. ACT increased its support by 0.8 points to 7.5 percent, and Te Pāti Māori edged up 0.3 points to 3.2 percent.
Among smaller parties, TOP rose to 1.9 percent, NZ Outdoors and Freedom reached 1.7 percent, Vision NZ dropped to 0.2 percent, and New Conservatives climbed to 0.8 percent.
Seat projections indicate the centre-left bloc now holds 61 seats, up one from the previous poll, while the centre-right falls to 59 seats. On those numbers, Labour, the Greens, and Te Pāti Māori would be in a position to form a government.
Labour’s projected representation increases by one seat to 44, while National drops three seats to 36. Both the Greens and New Zealand First remain on 13 seats each. ACT rises two seats to 10, while Te Pāti Māori stays on four seats.
The result marks a shift from the February poll, which pointed to a hung Parliament, and reinforces how narrow the contest remains heading toward the next election.
The survey also tested public confidence in policy management. National continued to lead on economic management and government spending, but Labour was ahead on health, poverty, inflation, education, safety, housing, environmental issues, and on the question of which party voters trusted more not to raise taxes.
Taxpayers’ Union spokesman James Ross said the latest figures showed the race remained extremely tight.
“Yet again, this poll confirms that the election race is as close as it can be,” Ross said.
He added that National should be concerned by Labour’s growing strength on issues where the government would traditionally expect stronger support, particularly taxation.
“The Government ought to be concerned with the issues Labour now lead on. It will shock National’s election strategists that more voters are picking Labour as more trusted ‘not to put up your taxes’.”
Nice to see NZOFP New Zealand Outdoors and Freedom Party coming up in the poll .. Check out our policies we have more coming in the coming days and Candidate announcements
Agree with you there. They could get in too, were it not for the corrupt globalist parties 5% threshold. Someone needs raise this as an issue of fundamental democracy, its basically “vote theft”.
Sorry, I can’t vote for you. Your sister dobbed me in for eating a passion-fruit overhanging the playground at primary school.
At first sight, that is a really depressing poll.
But then it dawns on the reader that it’s a poll about the sh*t-show going down in the beehive.
That show is a hijacked leaky boat, the command deck occupied by traitors.
The next REAL poll will be the nekt election.
Hope that NZ Loyal is then included as sadly the only alternative to the above show.
Yawn. Uni-party polls for a fake democracy.
Can’t even manage one term without fucking it up.Now we get more woke tyranny as an alternative. Just watch as hate speech laws roll in, accompanied by COVID “no jab no life” medical care, Australia style plus extra taxes like CGT (which is a total shit show, just look at Australia and elsewhere) to fund all the authoritarianism and squander.
Where are these polls taken? Outside winz?